Saturday 10 January 2015

EXPECTED DA RISE FROM JANUARY 2015 (1-1-2015) FOR CENTRAL GOVT. EMPLOYEES : Situation after declaration of AICPIN for November 2014.

AICPIN for NOVEMBER  2014 is declared  which remained stationary at 253 points.Thus with present scenario, the estimation of DA rise w.e.f. 1-1-2015 has been carried out with the help of  following cases:


CASE-I:  There is no change in AICPIN for next 1 month : 

         Let us assume that for December 2014, the AICPIN neither rises nor declines and remains constant at 253 points . The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that, the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-II:  The AICPIN increases by ONE point  for next 1 month:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-III:  The AICPIN increases by TWO points for next 1 month:

The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.


CASE-IV:  The AICPIN increases  by   THREE  points    for next 1 MONTH :

Let AICPIN increases to 256 points for December 2014 .
The calculation of DA rise in this case  indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-V:  The AICPIN deccreases by ONE point  for next 1 month:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CASE-VI:  The AICPIN decreases by TWO points  for next 1 month:

The calculation of DA rise in this case indicates that the DA rise would be 6% w.e.f. 1-1-2015.

CONCLUSION:  By analysing above different situations, we can conclude that minimum DA rise may be  maximum 6% w.e.f. JANUARY 2015.